Labels: Naked Trading
Hi, its been a while since the last post. I am a bit busy with another kind of job so I cannot post more about my trading experiences. Here, I want to add my trading arsenal with the price action strategy. As always, I do not believe in most fancy indicators. Price actions is the one and only strategy which gives me more profits each days. Here I want to show you a nice price action setup which you may read already on another blogs or someone else's website.
I do not know the name of this candlestick formation. Name is not too important for me :)
See the tiny candle on the peak of the chart. after a quite long bullish candle then the next candle is very tiny/small with short tail on each side. This candle formation will be a good short setup only when it breaks the previous longer bullish candle. See the entry line above. I open sell only when it break the longer bullish candle not the small candle. Stop Loss always put few pips above the highest point on the candle formation.
Labels: Naked Trading
Labels: Fibonacci Breakout
Labels: Fibonacci Breakout
Labels: Fibonacci Breakout
Labels: Fibonacci Breakout
Labels: Fibonacci Breakout
Labels: Trading Result
Labels: Fibonacci Breakout, Trade signal
Model 1 |
Labels: Fibonacci Breakout
Labels: Fibonacci Breakout
Labels: Naked Trading
Labels: Trading Result
Labels: Naked Trading
Labels: Expert Advisor
Here I want to share a free trading signal for today 2 October 2013. This trade is based on Fibonacci breakout. Open trade when the price hit the following price or simply put a pending order using the following trade details:
Labels: Trade signal
I’ve been testing this kind of trading strategy for about 3 months in both real and demo account. The main problem of this strategy is to believe this strategy itself. With fibonacci, if all conditions are satisfied, 99% the target will be reach. This strategy works on any time frame but its recommended to use H1 or H4 only since these TF have less fakeout and why I am not recommend to use D1 or higher since its too long to wait for the trade setup and target to be reached.
The main conditions must be met are:
Ideal BUY position
First, find and identify the most recent lower low. Make sure price has made a significant lower low. Then, when price move up and break the most recent high, it will reach the Fibo level 161.8. See my illustration below
Labels: Naked Trading
I just opened buy trade on EURJPY this morning and alhamdulillah I got 10 pips in just few minutes. This is a fibonacci breakout strategy which gives me a lot of pips so far. Here is the trade screenshot.
Labels: Trading Result
Fibonacci breakout still my favorite system right now. On this post I want to show you how this system works pretty well on AUDUSD 13 September 2013 on M15 time frame. In order to open BUY position, I have to wait the price made a fresh lower low. If this condition does not met, I do not enter the trade. See the setup below
Labels: Naked Trading
Here is my trade signal for today 11 September 2013. I was waiting for Short position on EURJPY or USDJPY. Here is my trade setup
Position details:
We’ll see in the next few hours
Labels: Trade signal
This post will show you how to trade using trendline breakout method and Fibonacci level as the target or take profit area. On this example I am going to show you how this system works for you. No indicator needed. We only watch for the significant swing highs and swing lows.
Labels: Naked Trading, Trendline Strategy
I just open short position on GBPJPY pair on 8 September 2013. This trade is based on Fibonacci breakout system. I only look for about 15 pips as my target but I use 5 mini lots. I hope this will be a good trade for today.
Labels: Trade signal
This is a free Forex signal from my self and I hope this will profitable and hit my profit target. EURJPY has broken my resistant area and now moving upward. The target will be the 161.8 level of the Fibonacci retracement. I called this strategy as Fibonacci breakout trading system. Here is the setup:
The price has move up and break the 100 level of Fibonacci. I open Long and put the target on 161.8 level. This could be a semi long trading since I am sure that my take profit will not hit in the next few hours.
Lets wait and see.
Labels: Trade signal
Personally,I am still have no confidence to trade price action only. I still need a dynamic support and resistant indicator to improve my confidence when entering the trade. One of the good tool that I found is the Donchian Bands or Donchian Channel. I use Donchian Bands as the bounce area when price hit the upper or lower bands and there is a price action signal around the area.
After backtesting and looking for the good signal, the following trade conditions are good area to open the trade
BUY Position
Illustration
Labels: Naked Trading
In term of learning Forex, I use Trade Sim expert advisor to improve my sense of detecting candle stick pattern trading. Here I want to show you how the pin bar candle works perfectly. I use EURJPY on 17 July 2013 as the base. See the chart below for better visualization.
Labels: Naked Trading
On my previous post, I’ve shown a successful long wick trading signal. Here I am going to show you how the long wick signal can be failed as well as any other signal. Since there is no such a perfect system, stop loss always the savior for every trading setup.
Labels: Naked Trading
I like to trade based on price action with no indicator attached on my chart. I don’t like any indicators on my chart because it makes me confuse sometimes. Now, I am learning to trade based on price action only. And the most price action signal that I love is the long wick/tail candle.
How to trade this long tailed candle?
Labels: Naked Trading
In last couple days I searched for any new profitable Forex method without any indicator. I started with Fibonacci breakout and it works pretty well. Now, I am trying to combine the Fibonacci breakout and some other price action strategy. Price action is a good way to trade Forex currencies because if we rely on indicators, we will missed the momentum.
On this post, I am going to show some nice setup using pin bar candlestick or hammer type candlestick. I do not trade based on this pin bar only but, if we spot a pin bar candle, we can prepare ourselves to enter the trade as well.
Labels: Naked Trading
I just open Long position on Gold. This position is based on my trendline breakout.
Gold has just broke the trendline and latest resistant area. I hope this breakout is valid and can hit my Take Profit area.
Here is my trade:
Will see on the next few hours.
Labels: Trade signal
In many cases, for example if we use M15 as our base for breakout trading, we can only get few pips and then the price already reverse against us. To avoid this, we can use lower time frame to catch the breakout earlier. See example below
M15 time frame trade setup
Labels: Trendline Strategy
Hi, see you again in this blog. Here I want to share how to get 10 pips per trade with trendline breakout. Its a simple strategy without any indicator. You only need to learn how to draw trendline connecting supports or resistant. This strategy applies to any pairs and any time frame but I recommend to use M15 because we only want to get 10 pips .
SELL condition
Labels: Trendline Strategy
Believe or not, any indicators are based on price. So, they will be always late and formed after the price. Personally, I don't like fancy indicators. MT4 application already equipped with many powerful indicators such as Bollinger Bands, CCI and Stochastic. I think with those indi, you can be successfully in trading. The key is risk management.
Here I want to show you how to trade without many confusing indicators. We will try to trade based on price action only with trendline. As long as I learn Forex, trendline breakout give me better result than any other strategy. Indicators such as Stochastic, CCI and MACD are helpful when there is divergence.
Labels: Trendline Strategy
Its currently 9.30 PM on my time zone and today AUDUSD has made a pretty nice up trend. My previous SELL signal on AUDUSD hit my stop loss at -50 pips. I loss 50 dollar today but its fine. Now I am preparing a SELL position on AUDUSD. Wait until the price break the trend line and I think it safe to get 20 pips down ward.
Here is my trade setup
Labels: Trade signal
Here is the sell signal for AUDUSD 8 August 2013. I have been short AUDUSD at 0.8987 and my target is 0.8967. Its a good signal and hope my target will hit.
Labels: Trade signal
Here is the trade result for my previous BUY signal on EURUSD pair. This trade was taken about 1 hour ago and now my profit target was hit.
Here is the current EURUSD chart after my TP was hit.
Labels: Trading Result
I just open a Long transaction on EURUSD pair on 7 August 2013. This trade is based on Fibonacci breakout with level 161.8 fibo level as the target.
I open the trade a bit late because I just seen this signal. As the target was not reached yet, so I still can open the trade with about 13 pips as my target. Here is the trade details:
See you on the next post I hope this will be a green pips for me :)
Labels: Trade signal
Before you continue to read this post, please note that this is a free signal. Thus there is no guarantee that this signal is 100 percent accurate. This signal is calculated using fibonacci breakout strategy and tested many times. But still, you will need to manage your risk.
Signal for EURJPY, valid until 8 August 2013
Place a pending order BUY stop with the following details:
Put your stop loss based on your own risk management. Since this is a breakout strategy, it's about 1:1 risk reward ratio. The take profit level can be increased based on todays low of EURJPY (7 August 2013).
Labels: Trade signal
This method has been popular on some websites and there are also many people trade using this strategy. The idea of this trendline breakout with fibonacci is when price break a trend line, we wait until it break 100 Fibonacci level and the target is the next Fibo level.
Its a good trading strategy but the main problem is the stop loss. The stop loss is quite large. But its very accurate if we do it in correct manner. See the example below.
Labels: Trendline Strategy
This post is a back test which is for learning process only. I could not write the post when price still running because I have to manage and take care of my own trading. I hope this post can give a better visualization for future trading setup using hidden divergence strategy. Starting from early morning of 26 July 2013, EURJPY has made a strong down trend. This down trend was confirmed by the price moving below 50 EMA on M15 time frame.
This strategy is to follow the trend with hidden divergence confirmation. The stop loss should be placed few pips above the previous high (on a down trend). My suggestion is to put the stop loss a bit wider because sometimes price made a spike and hit your stop loss if you put it too tight. I usually put the stop around 20 pips because 20 pips with 0.1 standard lot is my risk on every position I took. I don't want to lose more than 20 dollar on each trade.
I also do not use Take profit when I am in front of my laptop. I will manually move my stop loss when I am floating in profit. By doing this, I can maximize my profit. I move my stop loss to break even when I am in 10 pips winning position. By doing this I can minimize my losing chance.
Labels: Divergence
Trend following is the safest and is the most popular trading strategy among traders in the world. The idea here is to ride the current trend in selected time frame with hidden divergence confirmation. The following indicators are needed:
Entry rule:
Long entry:
When MACD bars are above the zero line and price is above the 50 EMA, it indicates that the current trend is UP. We try to catch the trend by identifying the hidden divergence on Stochastic. See example below
Labels: Divergence
Labels: Trendline Strategy
Trend line breakout is a simple and powerful trading strategy that works on any time frame and pairs. Here I want to show you a nice bullish breakout trading EURJPY on 31 July 2013. With a proper stop loss we can gain many green pips without having to lose your account.
On the chart above, I draw a trendline connecting highs. When price move up and break this trend line, I open buy with stop loss below the previous low. I only take 10-20 pips per trade and that's enough for me. Now I am waiting for the price to retrace down and maybe give a good sell signal.
Labels: Trendline Strategy
Its now time for scalper. What do you think if we can get 5 pips per trade. Is it enough for you? For some people, 5 pips is garbage and not worthy but think again. For example we can open position 10 times per day, we can get 5x10 equal 50 pips per day. This method that I will show you give a pretty good probability. See my transactions today below
Click the image for larger view.
So, which technique that I used to get the above result? The answer is trend line breakout. I tried many indicators and EA but its too complicated to follow. Metatrader already equipped with many powerful tool we can use to trade with simple. See how I trade trend line breakout with only 8 pips target (minus 3 for spread). The only indicator that I am using is the EMA 60 as the trend indicator. I trade along with the trend. If the price moving above the EMA, I only take Long and if the price moving below the EMA 60 I only take short.
Labels: Trendline Strategy
Labels: TDI System
MACD Histogram is a good tool to help a scalper like me to enter the market any time whenever there is a trend line breakout. This indicator helps me to confirm the trend line breakout and get some pips (10-20 pips) on M15 time frame.
On an up trend, draw supports line by connecting the significant lows of the uptrend. We prepared ourselves to catch the retracement or reversal possibilities. When the price break our trend line, check if the MACD Histogram bar already in RED color. Usually, the bar already turned red before the breakout.
Labels: Trendline Strategy
A nice bullish divergence was developed on USDCHF pair on 17 July 2013. After few days USDCHF made a nice down trend, today I spot a bullish divergence on hourly time frame.
Compare my dotted arrows on the price and on the indicator. The The discrepancy between the price and indicator develop a divergence. Price made lower low but MACD Histogram made a higher low. It's a bullish divergence.
I always use a trendline to help me open my trade. When the price break the trend line, I can open my trade confidently.
Labels: Divergence
Pivot Point, Support, Resistant are important parts on Forex trading. Price is respect to these. I always load my Support and Resistant indicator on my chart. On this post, I want to show you how price bounce on Pivot Point line and we how we trade it. By its theory, when price break S&R line, it will continue to move up or down. But sometimes, we can use the bounce of the S&R line to open a trade.
On the chart above, see how price tested the Pivot line twice before it break the line and move down significantly. For a scalper with 10-20 pips profit target, we open a position on a pivot line bounce. Put the stop loss below the line when buy and above the line when sell.
Labels: General
Hidden divergence is a powerful trading setup when we manage it correctly. The example below will show you how to trade hidden divergence the right way. Both normal or hidden divergence need a confirmation before it really a normal or hidden divergence. A good confirmation is the trendline breakout. And as my own experience, MACD Histogram is the perfect indicator to detect divergence. See example below (M15 time frame)
Labels: Divergence
Trading trend line breakout can be profitable if we do it in a good manner. In Forex, there are many false breakout. To avoid false breakout signal, I often use other indicator such as TDI red green cross line.
Labels: TDI System
I am currently waiting for a bullish hidden divergence on EURUSD pair 13 July 2013 H1 time frame. If we look at the chart below, we see that EURUSD made a nice up trend on H1 time frame and at this moment the retracement still in progress. CCI indicator has made lower low and a trend line break would be a good confirmation to get 20-30 pips I think.
I think it's a good trade signal. But make sure a trend line break is full filled before open BUY position.
Labels: Trade signal
Sorry late to post this signal because I am still working. This is my first day working on my exploration company after 1 month long leave. I spot there was a nice bearish divergence on AUDUSD 11 July 2013 H1 time frame.
Labels: Trade signal
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